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Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2027

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2027.

March 21, 2027 · 1:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 52.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

52.3%
Fair American -110
Fair decimal 1.91
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 21, 2027.

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
7-5
Net units
0.27
ROI
2.3%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.46
ROI
18.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
10
Record
6-4
Net units
0.21
ROI
2.1%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:48 together · 8 games

xG share74.0%
Corsi for / against
106 / 64
Fenwick for / against
79 / 44
Corsi share
62.4%
Fenwick share
64.2%
xG for / against
6.35 / 2.23
Defense pair

116:25 together · 10 games

xG share62.4%
Corsi for / against
137 / 105
Fenwick for / against
97 / 73
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
57.1%
xG for / against
7.21 / 4.35
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:56 together · 10 games

xG share70.7%
Corsi for / against
156 / 79
Fenwick for / against
120 / 63
Corsi share
66.4%
Fenwick share
65.6%
xG for / against
9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair

95:18 together · 10 games

xG share68.4%
Corsi for / against
126 / 62
Fenwick for / against
98 / 42
Corsi share
67.0%
Fenwick share
70.0%
xG for / against
7.48 / 3.46
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
28.1

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
31.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.66
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.94

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.93
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
1.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.9
Corsi share (%)
54.7
Fenwick share (%)
54.7
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.7
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
57.8
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
16Points20
0.615Points %0.714
47Goals for44
43Goals against31
4Goal differential13
L1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
7Games4
4Wins4
8Points8
1Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
6-4-0Record7-2-1
12Points15
35Goals for33
38Goals against23
-3Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 2 wins
4 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 2 wins
Total goals12 – 12
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.0 / 3.0
Shots per game32.5 / 29.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 27, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
3 - 1 30 - 27 View
Mar 10, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 5 25 - 30 View
Feb 27, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 5 23 - 37 View
Oct 25, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
6 - 2 41 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.