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Utah Mammoth vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 16, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 16, 2026.

March 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

143:28 together · 10 games

xG share44.2%
Corsi for / against
123 / 134
Fenwick for / against
83 / 87
Corsi share
47.9%
Fenwick share
48.8%
xG for / against
5.27 / 6.64
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:20 together · 10 games

xG share60.4%
Corsi for / against
107 / 109
Fenwick for / against
80 / 74
Corsi share
49.5%
Fenwick share
51.9%
xG for / against
6.57 / 4.30
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
31.1

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
92.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.05
xG against / game
2.89
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.78
xG against / game
2.61
xG differential / game
1.17

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.1
Corsi share (%)
54.1
Fenwick share (%)
53.4
Faceoff win %
53.2
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
54.4
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 15.9% · Avg distance: 29.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
16Points15
0.667Points %0.682
46Goals for32
40Goals against20
6Goal differential12
W1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
7Games6
4Wins4
8Points8
1Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
6-4-0Record7-2-1
12Points15
36Goals for32
39Goals against16
-3Goal differential16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
3 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 2 wins
Total goals7 – 8
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.33 / 2.67
Shots per game23.7 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
3 - 2 32 - 14 View
Jan 15, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
1 - 2 27 - 27 View
Nov 28, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 30 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.