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Utah Mammoth vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 8, 2026.

October 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Utah Mammoth

8-5-0

1 Model pick
Final
Home

Boston Bruins

9-3-1

6
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 54.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Utah Mammoth logo
Away team

Utah Mammoth

54.3%
Fair American -119
Fair decimal 1.84
Best market -125 · BetUS
Market implied 55.6%
Edge -1.3%
Expected value -2.3%
Calculate value
Boston Bruins logo
Home team

Boston Bruins

45.7%
Fair American +119
Fair decimal 2.19
Best market +111 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 47.4%
Edge -1.7%
Expected value -3.6%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 8, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.37
ROI
12.3%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
1.04
ROI
34.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.37
ROI
68.5%
Full team betting results

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.07
ROI
-3.7%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-1.07
ROI
-35.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.93
ROI
92.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Utah Mammoth

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

53:37 together · 4 games

xG share51.8%
Corsi for / against
56 / 43
Fenwick for / against
37 / 30
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
55.2%
xG for / against
2.51 / 2.34
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

63:35 together · 4 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
53 / 46
Fenwick for / against
39 / 35
Corsi share
53.5%
Fenwick share
52.7%
xG for / against
2.35 / 1.89
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 6

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
69
Save %
91.3
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
37.7

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 5

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
81
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.87
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
1.13

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.05

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Utah Mammoth

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
67.2
Corsi share (%)
55.7
Fenwick share (%)
57.0
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft

Boston Bruins

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
55.5
Corsi share (%)
50.2
Fenwick share (%)
50.5
Faceoff win %
50.4
Penalties / game
3.75

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
16Points19
0.615Points %0.731
47Goals for49
43Goals against28
4Goal differential21
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Utah Mammoth UTA road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
7Games6
4Wins5
8Points10
1Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Utah Mammoth UTA
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
6-4-0Record7-2-1
12Points15
35Goals for41
38Goals against21
-3Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
2 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 1 wins
Total goals4 – 6
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.0 / 3.0
Shots per game24.0 / 24.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 16, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 4 21 - 23 View
Oct 19, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 3 26 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings UTA BOS