Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
41.9%
Fair American
+139
Fair decimal
2.39
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 8, 2026.
October 8, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Vegas Golden Knights
at 58.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Vegas Golden Knights
58.1%
Fair American
-139
Fair decimal
1.72
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 95 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.579 |
| 253 | Goals for | 265 |
| 299 | Goals against | 250 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 15 |
| L5 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 20 |
| 34 | Points | 49 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 19 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 7-0-3 |
| 5 | Points | 17 |
| 28 | Goals for | 40 |
| 47 | Goals against | 25 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 15 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
4 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
6 wins
Total goals34 – 36
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game3.4 / 3.6
Shots per game28.3 / 29.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 6 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 2 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
7 - 3 | 42 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Jan 11, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 34 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 4 | 26 - 33 | View |