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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 13, 2026.

January 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:06 together · 9 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
90 / 84
Fenwick for / against
74 / 65
Corsi share
51.7%
Fenwick share
53.2%
xG for / against
4.92 / 3.53
Defense pair

68:37 together · 10 games

xG share46.3%
Corsi for / against
47 / 63
Fenwick for / against
33 / 49
Corsi share
42.7%
Fenwick share
40.2%
xG for / against
2.30 / 2.66
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

80:56 together · 10 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
85 / 69
Fenwick for / against
55 / 48
Corsi share
55.2%
Fenwick share
53.4%
xG for / against
3.52 / 2.51
Defense pair

141:59 together · 10 games

xG share51.0%
Corsi for / against
152 / 150
Fenwick for / against
107 / 103
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
51.0%
xG for / against
7.46 / 7.17
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Jan 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
137
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
24.8

Vitek Vanecek

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Jan 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
31.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Toronto Maple Leafs

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.10
xG differential / game
-0.09

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.04
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
44.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.4
Faceoff win %
55.2
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 15.7% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.6
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
50.8
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
16Points16
0.571Points %0.667
52Goals for46
46Goals against40
6Goal differential6
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
6Games5
3Wins4
7Points8
7Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
5-3-2Record6-4-0
12Points12
41Goals for36
35Goals against39
6Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 1 wins
1 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 0 wins
Total goals5 – 3
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game5.0 / 3.0
Shots per game19.0 / 24.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 5, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 5 24 - 19 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.