Away team
Toronto Maple Leafs
32.5%
Fair American
+208
Fair decimal
3.08
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 20, 2027
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 20, 2027.
February 20, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 67.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
67.5%
Fair American
-208
Fair decimal
1.48
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Points | 106 |
| 0.476 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 253 | Goals for | 290 |
| 299 | Goals against | 231 |
| -46 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 14 | Wins | 26 |
| 34 | Points | 53 |
| -36 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| 28 | Goals for | 26 |
| 47 | Goals against | 30 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
4 wins
Total goals36 – 35
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game3.6 / 3.5
Shots per game30.5 / 31.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 2 | 33 - 29 | View |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 2 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Apr 9, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Oct 21, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Apr 17, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 6 | 38 - 32 | View |
| Apr 3, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 1 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Nov 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 6 | 31 - 34 | View |