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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 18, 2027

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 18, 2027.

February 18, 2027 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

7-4-2

59.3% Model pick
at
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-4

40.7%
Model V2 pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at 59.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Away team

Toronto Maple Leafs

59.3%
Fair American -146
Fair decimal 1.69
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

40.7%
Fair American +146
Fair decimal 2.46
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 18, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:16 together · 10 games

xG share45.0%
Corsi for / against
87 / 118
Fenwick for / against
71 / 87
Corsi share
42.4%
Fenwick share
44.9%
xG for / against
4.07 / 4.98
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

48:38 together · 9 games

xG share65.8%
Corsi for / against
55 / 43
Fenwick for / against
38 / 32
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
3.00 / 1.56
Defense pair

99:32 together · 9 games

xG share45.8%
Corsi for / against
92 / 104
Fenwick for / against
70 / 74
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
48.6%
xG for / against
3.89 / 4.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anthony Stolarz

Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
150
Save %
90.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
31.3

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
52
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Toronto Maple Leafs

xG for / game
3.20
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.25
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Toronto Maple Leafs

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
46.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.2
Faceoff win %
53.1
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 15.2% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
47.1
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
50.3
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
16Points12
0.615Points %0.545
50Goals for31
41Goals against35
9Goal differential-4
W4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
5Games6
3Wins3
7Points7
10Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
6-2-2Record4-2-4
14Points12
44Goals for30
34Goals against32
10Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 4 wins
Total goals34 – 32
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.4 / 3.2
Shots per game32.3 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 6, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 5 25 - 37 View
Dec 20, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 5 22 - 34 View
Oct 14, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 7 30 - 28 View
Mar 22, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 5 26 - 32 View
Dec 4, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 3 24 - 28 View
Dec 9, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
0 - 4 18 - 37 View
Oct 28, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 35 - 24 View
Mar 26, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 34 - 25 View
Jan 11, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 2 33 - 35 View
Mar 19, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 6 41 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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