Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 3, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers matchup on February 3, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Edmonton Oilers a 64.6% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Edmonton Oilers (64.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 3, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Toronto Maple Leafs
35.4%
Fair American: +182
Fair Decimal: 2.82
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Edmonton Oilers logo
Edmonton Oilers
64.6%
Fair American: -182
Fair Decimal: 1.55
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
78 Points 93
0.476 Points % 0.567
253 Goals For 282
299 Goals Against 269
-46 Goal Differential 13
L5 Current Streak W1
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR (Road)
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM (Home)
41 Games 41
14 Wins 22
34 Points 49
-36 Goal Differential 3
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
2-7-1 Record 6-2-2
5 Points 14
28 Goals For 32
47 Goals Against 23
-19 Goal Differential 9
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
H2H Summary
Edmonton Oilers EDM
6-4 Record 4-6
39 Total Goals 34
+5 Goal Differential -5
3.9 Goals / Game 3.4
28.9 Shots / Game 33.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 13, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
6 - 3 37 - 28 View
Feb 1, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3 28 - 48 View
Nov 16, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 4 30 - 22 View
Mar 23, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 6 39 - 29 View
Jan 16, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 27 - 32 View
Mar 11, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 7 26 - 38 View
Mar 1, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5 28 - 32 View
Jan 5, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 4 30 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2021
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Edmonton Oilers
5 - 1 25 - 36 View
Mar 29, 2021
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers @ Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 2 23 - 31 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.