Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 26, 2026

NHL matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 26, 2026.

October 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM CST
Model favourite Calgary Flames at 62.6%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Away team

Toronto Maple Leafs

37.4%
Fair American +167
Fair decimal 2.67
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
78Points77
0.476Points %0.470
253Goals for212
299Goals against259
-46Goal differential-47
L5Current streakW1
Road versus home
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
41Games41
14Wins23
34Points51
-36Goal differential13
Last 10 games
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
2-7-1Record4-5-1
5Points9
28Goals for30
47Goals against37
-19Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 1 wins
Total goals40 – 28
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game4.0 / 2.8
Shots per game33.9 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 2, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 2 22 - 30 View
Oct 28, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 4 29 - 37 View
Mar 17, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 6 26 - 29 View
Feb 4, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
6 - 3 30 - 26 View
Jan 18, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 32 - 26 View
Nov 10, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 5 28 - 36 View
Mar 2, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 1 34 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 5 26 - 34 View
Feb 10, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 5 48 - 26 View
Nov 12, 2021
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
1 - 2 31 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.