Forward trio
45:34 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 41 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 34 / 37
- Corsi share
- 44.1%
- Fenwick share
- 47.9%
- xG for / against
- 1.68 / 3.81
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 30, 2026
NHL matchup
Toronto Maple Leafs at Anaheim Ducks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 30, 2026.
March 30, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
81:44 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 49 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 62
- Corsi share
- 39.2%
- Fenwick share
- 37.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.79 / 4.40
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
65:06 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 82 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 47
- Corsi share
- 53.6%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.90 / 3.61
Defense pair
133:39 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 86
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.24 / 6.04
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 195
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 29.2
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 151
- Save %
- 91.4
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 37.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.53
- xG against / game
- 4.06
- xG differential / game
- -1.54
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 3.63
- xG against / game
- 3.41
- xG differential / game
- 0.22
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 44.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 38.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 38.1
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.7
Shots / game: 22.3 · Shooting: 12.6% · Avg distance: 35.4 ft
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 32.0 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TOR
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 11 |
| 0.533 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 56 | Goals for | 37 |
| 51 | Goals against | 43 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -6 |
| L2 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
TOR road
|
Metric |
ANA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
TOR
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 11 | Points | 7 |
| 42 | Goals for | 30 |
| 36 | Goals against | 38 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TOR
8 wins
10
games reviewed
ANA
2 wins
Total goals43 – 21
Goal differential
+22
/
-22
Goals per game4.3 / 2.1
Shots per game35.7 / 30.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 6 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Mar 30, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 9 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Jan 3, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
2 - 1 | 57 - 28 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 7 | 28 - 42 | View |
| Oct 30, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
3 - 4 | 36 - 39 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 44 | View |
| Nov 28, 2021 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 40 | View |
| Mar 6, 2020 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |