Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
66.7%
Fair American
-200
Fair decimal
1.5
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2026.
March 5, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 66.7%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Winnipeg Jets
33.3%
Fair American
+200
Fair decimal
3.0
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 82 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 290 | Goals for | 231 |
| 231 | Goals against | 260 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -29 |
| L1 | Current streak | L4 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
WPG home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 19 |
| 53 | Points | 44 |
| 37 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 26 | Goals for | 26 |
| 30 | Goals against | 37 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
WPG
6 wins
Total goals38 – 35
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game3.8 / 3.5
Shots per game31.3 / 26.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 7 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Apr 16, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 7 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Mar 8, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 7 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 17, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
7 - 1 | 26 - 31 | View |