Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets matchup on March 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 66.7% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(66.7%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
66.7%
Fair American: -200
Fair Decimal: 1.5
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 82 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 290 | Goals For | 231 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 260 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -29 |
| L1 | Current Streak | L4 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
WPG (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 19 |
| 53 | Points | 44 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -3 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 26 | Goals For | 26 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 37 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -11 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 38 | Total Goals | 35 |
| +3 | Goal Differential | -3 |
| 3.8 | Goals / Game | 3.5 |
| 31.3 | Shots / Game | 26.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 7 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 20 | View |
| Apr 16, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 7 | 18 - 37 | View |
| Mar 8, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
4 - 7 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 17, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Winnipeg Jets
@
|
7 - 1 | 26 - 31 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.