Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
57.0%
Fair American
-133
Fair decimal
1.75
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 15, 2027
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 15, 2027.
March 15, 2027
· 12:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 57.0%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Washington Capitals
43.0%
Fair American
+133
Fair decimal
2.33
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 95 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.579 |
| 290 | Goals for | 263 |
| 231 | Goals against | 244 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 19 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 25 |
| 53 | Points | 55 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 30 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 26 | Goals for | 43 |
| 30 | Goals against | 33 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
4 wins
Total goals32 – 25
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.2 / 2.5
Shots per game24.3 / 29.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 3 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 1 | 19 - 21 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 21 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 34 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 24 - 32 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Washington Capitals
|
2 - 1 | 20 - 34 | View |
| Mar 30, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 34 | View |