Forward trio
65:32 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 58 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 38 / 44
- Corsi share
- 51.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.21 / 2.42
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2026.
March 19, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
97:55 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 58
- Corsi share
- 60.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.77 / 3.84
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
67:44 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 45 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 50
- Corsi share
- 41.3%
- Fenwick share
- 41.9%
- xG for / against
- 2.55 / 2.91
Defense pair
147:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 125
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 89
- Corsi share
- 43.4%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.34 / 5.92
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 36.5
Kevin Lankinen
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 35.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.00
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.54
- xG against / game
- 3.57
- xG differential / game
- -1.04
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 43.8
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 23.1 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 7 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.250 |
| 38 | Goals for | 43 |
| 34 | Goals against | 65 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -22 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 2 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 1-8-1 |
| 15 | Points | 3 |
| 37 | Goals for | 24 |
| 29 | Goals against | 47 |
| 8 | Goal differential | -23 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
8 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
2 wins
Total goals40 – 27
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game4.0 / 2.7
Shots per game30.4 / 28.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
6 - 2 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Dec 8, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Oct 19, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 18, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Jan 12, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Mar 13, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Jan 7, 2020 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 9 | 23 - 37 | View |