Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks matchup on March 19, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 61.5% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(61.5%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 19, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
61.5%
Fair American: -160
Fair Decimal: 1.63
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Vancouver Canucks
38.5%
Fair American: +160
Fair Decimal: 2.6
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 58 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.354 |
| 290 | Goals For | 216 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 316 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -100 |
| L1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
VAN (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 9 |
| 53 | Points | 23 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -59 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 31 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 43 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -12 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 2-8 |
| 40 | Total Goals | 27 |
| +13 | Goal Differential | -13 |
| 4.0 | Goals / Game | 2.7 |
| 30.4 | Shots / Game | 28.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
6 - 2 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Dec 8, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Vancouver Canucks
@
|
4 - 2 | 33 - 25 | View |
| Oct 15, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Vancouver Canucks
@
|
1 - 4 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Oct 19, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Jan 18, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Vancouver Canucks
@
|
5 - 2 | 25 - 39 | View |
| Jan 12, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 5 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Mar 13, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Vancouver Canucks
@
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 36 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Jan 7, 2020 |
Vancouver Canucks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 9 | 23 - 37 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.