Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
59.2%
Fair American
-145
Fair decimal
1.69
Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2026.
January 16, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 59.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
40.8%
Fair American
+145
Fair decimal
2.45
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 86 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.524 |
| 290 | Goals for | 231 |
| 231 | Goals against | 258 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -27 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 47 |
| 37 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 26 | Goals for | 40 |
| 30 | Goals against | 31 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
4 wins
Total goals34 – 25
Goal differential
+9
/
-9
Goals per game3.4 / 2.5
Shots per game28.1 / 28.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 17 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 18 | View |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 3 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 6 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Nov 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
St. Louis Blues
|
0 - 5 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
St. Louis Blues
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 25, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Dec 2, 2021 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Nov 30, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
St. Louis Blues
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 33 | View |
| Nov 27, 2019 |
St. Louis Blues
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 35 | View |