Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken matchup on March 17, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 64.8% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(64.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 17, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
64.8%
Fair American: -184
Fair Decimal: 1.54
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 79 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.482 |
| 290 | Goals For | 226 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 263 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -37 |
| L1 | Current Streak | L3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
SEA (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 19 |
| 53 | Points | 43 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 2-8-0 |
| 10 | Points | 4 |
| 26 | Goals For | 20 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 39 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -19 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 1-7 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 13 |
| +20 | Goal Differential | -20 |
| 4.12 | Goals / Game | 1.62 |
| 31.4 | Shots / Game | 29.2 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 4 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Seattle Kraken
@
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Seattle Kraken
@
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 43 - 37 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Seattle Kraken
@
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 6 | 38 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Seattle Kraken
@
|
4 - 1 | 42 - 25 | View |
| Nov 26, 2021 |
Seattle Kraken
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 3 | 17 - 26 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.