Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 2, 2027

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 2, 2027.

February 2, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 61.8%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Away team

Tampa Bay Lightning

61.8%
Fair American -162
Fair decimal 1.62
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

38.2%
Fair American +162
Fair decimal 2.62
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
106Points98
0.646Points %0.598
290Goals for293
231Goals against268
59Goal differential25
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
41Games41
24Wins20
53Points48
37Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
5-5-0Record5-5-0
10Points10
26Goals for46
30Goals against40
-4Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 4 wins
Total goals38 – 28
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.8 / 2.8
Shots per game31.8 / 26.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 2, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 6 24 - 33 View
Jan 13, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 1 31 - 27 View
Dec 4, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 31 - 40 View
Mar 25, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 6 15 - 27 View
Jan 12, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 2 19 - 33 View
Nov 19, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 35 - 19 View
Apr 6, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 34 - 28 View
Dec 6, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 3 25 - 27 View
Nov 30, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 2 29 - 41 View
Mar 2, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 4 32 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.