Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
48.2%
Fair American
+107
Fair decimal
2.07
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 13, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 13, 2026.
January 13, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Pittsburgh Penguins
at 51.8%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
51.8%
Fair American
-107
Fair decimal
1.93
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 98 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 290 | Goals for | 293 |
| 231 | Goals against | 268 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 25 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 48 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 26 | Goals for | 46 |
| 30 | Goals against | 40 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
6 wins
Total goals35 – 37
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game3.5 / 3.7
Shots per game31.9 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 40 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 6 | 15 - 27 | View |
| Jan 12, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 6, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Mar 2, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Feb 26, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 7 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Oct 15, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 6 | 36 - 45 | View |