Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers matchup on January 12, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 57.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(57.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 12, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
57.2%
Fair American: -134
Fair Decimal: 1.75
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Philadelphia Flyers
42.8%
Fair American: +134
Fair Decimal: 2.34
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 98 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 290 | Goals For | 250 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 243 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | 7 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
PHI (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 48 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -2 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals For | 36 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 25 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 11 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 40 | Total Goals | 20 |
| +20 | Goal Differential | -20 |
| 4.0 | Goals / Game | 2.0 |
| 24.2 | Shots / Game | 26.6 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
7 - 2 | 23 - 20 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 3 | 20 - 18 | View |
| Mar 17, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 2 | 21 - 23 | View |
| Mar 13, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 29 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 7 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
2 - 6 | 22 - 31 | View |
| Jan 23, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
6 - 3 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 5 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Dec 1, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Philadelphia Flyers
@
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 22 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.