Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
57.2%
Fair American
-134
Fair decimal
1.75
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.
January 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 57.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
42.8%
Fair American
+134
Fair decimal
2.34
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 98 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 290 | Goals for | 250 |
| 231 | Goals against | 243 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 53 | Points | 48 |
| 37 | Goal differential | -2 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals for | 36 |
| 30 | Goals against | 25 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
7 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
3 wins
Total goals40 – 20
Goal differential
+20
/
-20
Goals per game4.0 / 2.0
Shots per game24.2 / 26.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
7 - 2 | 23 - 20 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 20 - 18 | View |
| Mar 17, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 2 | 21 - 23 | View |
| Mar 13, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 29 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 7 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 6 | 22 - 31 | View |
| Jan 23, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
6 - 3 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Mar 7, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Dec 1, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 22 | View |