Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
48.9%
Fair American
+104
Fair decimal
2.04
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 5, 2026.
December 5, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Ottawa Senators
at 51.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
51.1%
Fair American
-104
Fair decimal
1.96
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 99 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.604 |
| 290 | Goals for | 278 |
| 231 | Goals against | 246 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 32 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 23 |
| 53 | Points | 52 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 31 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 26 | Goals for | 36 |
| 30 | Goals against | 26 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
4 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
6 wins
Total goals34 – 35
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game3.4 / 3.5
Shots per game30.1 / 28.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 6 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 4 | 34 - 25 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 32 - 19 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Feb 4, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 38 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 26 | View |
| Feb 19, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Nov 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 4 | 38 - 28 | View |