Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.3%
Fair American
-105
Fair decimal
1.95
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2027
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2027.
March 18, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 51.3%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
48.7%
Fair American
+105
Fair decimal
2.05
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 106 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 290 | Goals for | 283 |
| 231 | Goals against | 256 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 27 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 24 |
| 53 | Points | 50 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 10 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 26 | Goals for | 28 |
| 30 | Goals against | 24 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals37 – 32
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.7 / 3.2
Shots per game26.7 / 29.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 2 | 18 - 21 | View |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Dec 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 36 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Feb 9, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 3 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 35 - 22 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 20 | View |