Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.

January 23, 2027 · 12:00 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 58.8%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Away team

Tampa Bay Lightning

58.8%
Fair American -143
Fair decimal 1.7
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

41.2%
Fair American +143
Fair decimal 2.43
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
106Points92
0.646Points %0.561
290Goals for241
231Goals against258
59Goal differential-17
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
41Games41
24Wins21
53Points46
37Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
5-5-0Record2-6-2
10Points6
26Goals for29
30Goals against45
-4Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 5 wins
Total goals32 – 25
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.2 / 2.5
Shots per game26.3 / 32.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 13, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 4 30 - 22 View
Mar 12, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 25 - 28 View
Nov 28, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 3 28 - 36 View
Oct 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 32 - 31 View
Apr 11, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 26 - 21 View
Feb 8, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 3 18 - 37 View
Jan 25, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 2 28 - 32 View
Jan 18, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 5 39 - 22 View
Apr 1, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 2 32 - 36 View
Jan 21, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 28 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.