Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars matchup on January 18, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 55.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(55.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 18, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.9%
Fair American: -127
Fair Decimal: 1.79
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 112 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.683 |
| 290 | Goals For | 279 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 226 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | 53 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W5 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
DAL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 56 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 23 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 26 | Goals For | 34 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 28 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 6 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 25 | Total Goals | 27 |
| -2 | Goal Differential | +2 |
| 2.5 | Goals / Game | 2.7 |
| 30.6 | Shots / Game | 27.3 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 2 | 21 - 33 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
3 - 2 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Dec 4, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 4 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
1 - 8 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
3 - 1 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Nov 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 38 | View |
| Apr 12, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Dallas Stars
@
|
0 - 1 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Jan 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 20 - 29 | View |
| May 7, 2021 |
Dallas Stars
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 27 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.