Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
55.9%
Fair American
-127
Fair decimal
1.79
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 18, 2026.
January 18, 2026
· 1:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 55.9%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
44.1%
Fair American
+127
Fair decimal
2.27
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 112 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.683 |
| 290 | Goals for | 279 |
| 231 | Goals against | 226 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 53 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 56 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 23 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 26 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 28 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
4 wins
Total goals25 – 27
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game2.5 / 2.7
Shots per game30.6 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 2 | 21 - 33 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Dec 4, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 4 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 8 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 1 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Nov 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 38 | View |
| Apr 12, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 1 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Jan 15, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 20 - 29 | View |
| May 7, 2021 |
Dallas Stars
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 27 | View |