Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2026

NHL matchup

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 18, 2026.

January 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM CST
Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6
at
Home

Dallas Stars

50-20-12
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
106Points112
0.646Points %0.683
290Goals for279
231Goals against226
59Goal differential53
L1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
41Games41
24Wins26
53Points56
37Goal differential23
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
5-5-0Record7-2-1
10Points15
26Goals for34
30Goals against28
-4Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 4 wins
Total goals25 – 27
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.5 / 2.7
Shots per game30.6 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 30, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 2 21 - 33 View
Mar 20, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 38 - 24 View
Nov 23, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 2 28 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 - 4 25 - 23 View
Dec 2, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 8 33 - 34 View
Feb 11, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 1 31 - 29 View
Nov 15, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 5 32 - 38 View
Apr 12, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 1 25 - 29 View
Jan 15, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 3 20 - 29 View
May 7, 2021
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 2 31 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings TBL DAL