Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
41.6%
Fair American
+140
Fair decimal
2.4
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 23, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 23, 2026.
October 23, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Colorado Avalanche
at 58.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
58.4%
Fair American
-140
Fair decimal
1.71
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 121 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.738 |
| 290 | Goals for | 302 |
| 231 | Goals against | 203 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 99 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 58 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 49 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 26 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 20 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 14 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
4 wins
Total goals40 – 26
Goal differential
+14
/
-14
Goals per game4.0 / 2.6
Shots per game32.1 / 33.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 8 | 25 - 33 | View |
| Oct 30, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 2 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 39 | View |
| Nov 27, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 4 | 39 - 23 | View |
| Feb 14, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 46 | View |
| Feb 9, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 5 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Feb 10, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 38 - 47 | View |
| Oct 23, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 32 | View |