Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks matchup on January 23, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 57.6% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(57.6%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 23, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
57.6%
Fair American: -136
Fair Decimal: 1.74
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Chicago Blackhawks
42.4%
Fair American: +136
Fair Decimal: 2.36
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 72 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.439 |
| 290 | Goals For | 213 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 275 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | -62 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
CHI (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 14 |
| 53 | Points | 36 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | -28 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 10 | Points | 5 |
| 26 | Goals For | 25 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 42 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -17 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 3-7 |
| 39 | Total Goals | 28 |
| +11 | Goal Differential | -11 |
| 3.9 | Goals / Game | 2.8 |
| 34.2 | Shots / Game | 24.2 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Chicago Blackhawks
@
|
4 - 3 | 40 - 14 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Chicago Blackhawks
@
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 14 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 3 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Mar 11, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Jan 3, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Chicago Blackhawks
@
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Apr 1, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 43 | View |
| Mar 6, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Chicago Blackhawks
@
|
6 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Apr 27, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Chicago Blackhawks
@
|
7 - 4 | 30 - 40 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.