Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
57.6%
Fair American
-136
Fair decimal
1.74
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2026.
January 23, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 57.6%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
42.4%
Fair American
+136
Fair decimal
2.36
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 72 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.439 |
| 290 | Goals for | 213 |
| 231 | Goals against | 275 |
| 59 | Goal differential | -62 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 14 |
| 53 | Points | 36 |
| 37 | Goal differential | -28 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 10 | Points | 5 |
| 26 | Goals for | 25 |
| 30 | Goals against | 42 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -17 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
7 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
3 wins
Total goals39 – 28
Goal differential
+11
/
-11
Goals per game3.9 / 2.8
Shots per game34.2 / 24.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 3 | 40 - 14 | View |
| Nov 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 14 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 3 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Mar 11, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Jan 3, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Apr 1, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 5 | 23 - 43 | View |
| Mar 6, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
6 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Apr 27, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
7 - 4 | 30 - 40 | View |