Away team
Tampa Bay Lightning
39.8%
Fair American
+151
Fair decimal
2.51
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 28, 2026.
December 28, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Carolina Hurricanes
at 60.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Carolina Hurricanes
60.2%
Fair American
-151
Fair decimal
1.66
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 113 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.689 |
| 290 | Goals for | 296 |
| 231 | Goals against | 240 |
| 59 | Goal differential | 56 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
TBL road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 29 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 37 | Goal differential | 35 |
Last 10 games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 26 | Goals for | 39 |
| 30 | Goals against | 27 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 12 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
TBL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
4 wins
Total goals35 – 26
Goal differential
+9
/
-9
Goals per game3.5 / 2.6
Shots per game23.6 / 29.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 6 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 11, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
8 - 2 | 14 - 24 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 31 | View |