Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes matchup on February 26, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Carolina Hurricanes a 59.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Carolina Hurricanes
(59.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 26, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.9%
Fair American: +144
Fair Decimal: 2.44
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Carolina Hurricanes
59.1%
Fair American: -144
Fair Decimal: 1.69
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 113 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.689 |
| 290 | Goals For | 296 |
| 231 | Goals Against | 240 |
| 59 | Goal Differential | 56 |
| L1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
TBL (Road)
|
Metric |
CAR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 29 |
| 53 | Points | 60 |
| 37 | Goal Differential | 35 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
TBL
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 10 | Points | 15 |
| 26 | Goals For | 39 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 27 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 12 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
TBL
|
H2H Summary |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 32 | Total Goals | 27 |
| +5 | Goal Differential | -5 |
| 3.2 | Goals / Game | 2.7 |
| 22.9 | Shots / Game | 31.7 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 6 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 11, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
8 - 2 | 14 - 24 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
0 - 6 | 14 - 38 | View |
| Nov 3, 2022 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 55 - 26 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.