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St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 10, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 10, 2026.

January 10, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

153:19 together · 10 games

xG share52.2%
Corsi for / against
121 / 158
Fenwick for / against
96 / 106
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
47.5%
xG for / against
7.29 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

48:13 together · 8 games

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
42 / 47
Fenwick for / against
32 / 38
Corsi share
47.2%
Fenwick share
45.7%
xG for / against
3.00 / 2.18
Defense pair

102:54 together · 10 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
91 / 105
Fenwick for / against
72 / 70
Corsi share
46.4%
Fenwick share
50.7%
xG for / against
6.56 / 3.99
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Jan 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.5

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Jan 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
91
Save %
80.2
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.63
xG against / game
3.17
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.29
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.9
Corsi share (%)
44.1
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
48.7
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 23.0 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.3
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.5
Faceoff win %
46.8
Penalties / game
2.5

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
11Points17
0.500Points %0.654
35Goals for47
35Goals against38
0Goal differential9
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
6Games7
2Wins5
4Points10
-2Goal differential8
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
4-5-1Record6-3-1
9Points13
31Goals for36
35Goals against30
-4Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 7 wins
Total goals28 – 38
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.8 / 3.8
Shots per game25.9 / 32.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 2, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 24 - 19 View
Nov 15, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 34 - 23 View
Jan 23, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 31 - 17 View
Jan 20, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 4 28 - 32 View
Oct 11, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 22 - 28 View
Mar 25, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 1 34 - 32 View
Dec 6, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
6 - 3 49 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 1 27 - 34 View
Mar 12, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 3 31 - 33 View
Dec 23, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 5 29 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.