St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 22, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 22, 2026.

December 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 63.6%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

36.4%
Fair American +175
Fair decimal 2.75
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

63.6%
Fair American -175
Fair decimal 1.57
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
86Points106
0.524Points %0.646
231Goals for290
258Goals against231
-27Goal differential59
W4Current streakL1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
17Wins26
39Points53
-17Goal differential22
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
6-3-1Record5-5-0
13Points10
40Goals for26
31Goals against30
9Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 6 wins
Total goals24 – 33
Goal differential -9 / +9
Goals per game2.4 / 3.3
Shots per game27.1 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 16, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 36 - 21 View
Dec 22, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 24 - 17 View
Dec 19, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 3 32 - 18 View
Nov 5, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 23 - 23 View
Dec 19, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 6 29 - 33 View
Nov 14, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 5 30 - 29 View
Jan 14, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 2 30 - 25 View
Nov 25, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 5 27 - 27 View
Dec 2, 2021
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 4 28 - 35 View
Nov 30, 2021
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 33 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.