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St. Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

St. Louis Blues

5-5-1

2
Final
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-4

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Nashville Predators at 50.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

49.7%
Fair American +101
Fair decimal 2.01
Best market -113 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 53.1%
Edge -3.4%
Expected value -6.3%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

50.3%
Fair American -101
Fair decimal 1.99
Best market -101 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 50.2%
Edge +0.1%
Expected value +0.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 17, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

80:05 together · 7 games

xG share57.5%
Corsi for / against
78 / 53
Fenwick for / against
56 / 45
Corsi share
59.5%
Fenwick share
55.4%
xG for / against
4.72 / 3.48
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

46:05 together · 7 games

xG share59.3%
Corsi for / against
52 / 42
Fenwick for / against
35 / 31
Corsi share
55.3%
Fenwick share
53.0%
xG for / against
2.41 / 1.65
Defense pair

80:14 together · 7 games

xG share43.4%
Corsi for / against
75 / 91
Fenwick for / against
55 / 65
Corsi share
45.2%
Fenwick share
45.8%
xG for / against
2.94 / 3.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

St. Louis Blues

Joel Hofer 56.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Joel Hofer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.423
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.400
Started last game
-0.291
Prev save pct
-0.259
Won previous appearance
-0.196
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros 72.9%
Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.867
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.448
Team win pct before
+0.381
Started last game
-0.284
Prev save pct
+0.244
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
31.2

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.04
xG against / game
2.70
xG differential / game
0.34

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.64
xG against / game
3.17
xG differential / game
-0.53

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
50.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
48.6
Penalties / game
4.14

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Nashville Predators

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
54.7
Corsi share (%)
46.2
Fenwick share (%)
45.8
Faceoff win %
48.1
Penalties / game
3.29

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
11Points12
0.500Points %0.545
35Goals for31
35Goals against35
0Goal differential-4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
6Games6
2Wins3
4Points7
-2Goal differential2
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
4-5-1Record4-2-4
9Points12
31Goals for30
35Goals against32
-4Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 5 wins
Total goals35 – 39
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.9
Shots per game27.6 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 2, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 6 34 - 28 View
Dec 27, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 32 - 20 View
Dec 15, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 26 - 22 View
Dec 11, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 7 26 - 32 View
Mar 27, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 21 - 18 View
Mar 23, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 32 - 18 View
Mar 18, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 1 21 - 23 View
Dec 27, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 7 30 - 30 View
Apr 4, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 6 47 - 31 View
Feb 17, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 33 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings STL NSH