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St. Louis Blues vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2026.

March 18, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

91:01 together · 10 games

xG share41.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 93
Fenwick for / against
55 / 67
Corsi share
48.0%
Fenwick share
45.1%
xG for / against
3.16 / 4.41
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

35:23 together · 8 games

xG share48.9%
Corsi for / against
44 / 25
Fenwick for / against
33 / 19
Corsi share
63.8%
Fenwick share
63.5%
xG for / against
1.49 / 1.55
Defense pair

63:25 together · 6 games

xG share50.9%
Corsi for / against
73 / 85
Fenwick for / against
55 / 60
Corsi share
46.2%
Fenwick share
47.8%
xG for / against
3.39 / 3.27
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Mar 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
33.8

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 16

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
27.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.76
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.60

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.72
xG against / game
3.59
xG differential / game
-0.87

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.3
Corsi share (%)
46.7
Fenwick share (%)
44.6
Faceoff win %
46.2
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.9
Corsi share (%)
47.1
Fenwick share (%)
45.8
Faceoff win %
46.5
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
11Points10
0.500Points %0.455
35Goals for28
35Goals against41
0Goal differential-13
L1Current streakW4
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
6Games7
2Wins4
4Points8
-2Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
4-5-1Record5-5-0
9Points10
31Goals for27
35Goals against35
-4Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 1 wins
Total goals34 – 22
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game3.4 / 2.2
Shots per game27.0 / 32.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 11, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 40 - 31 View
Oct 11, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 2 28 - 29 View
Jan 16, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 4 29 - 29 View
Jan 14, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 28 - 25 View
Dec 5, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 24 - 39 View
Mar 28, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 5 28 - 19 View
Jan 23, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
4 - 3 26 - 35 View
Oct 26, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
3 - 0 35 - 27 View
Jan 12, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 40 - 26 View
Jan 10, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 31 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.