Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026

NHL matchup

Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.

October 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 72.0%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Seattle Kraken logo
Away team

Seattle Kraken

28.0%
Fair American +257
Fair decimal 3.57
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

72.0%
Fair American -257
Fair decimal 1.39
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
79Points106
0.482Points %0.646
226Goals for290
263Goals against231
-37Goal differential59
L3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Seattle Kraken SEA road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
15Wins26
36Points53
-33Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Seattle Kraken SEA
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
2-8-0Record5-5-0
4Points10
20Goals for26
39Goals against30
-19Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Seattle Kraken SEA 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 8 wins
Total goals19 – 42
Goal differential -23 / +23
Goals per game1.9 / 4.2
Shots per game27.1 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 26, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 19 - 33 View
Mar 17, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
6 - 2 25 - 18 View
Feb 23, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 37 - 24 View
Dec 14, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 1 31 - 22 View
Dec 9, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 30 - 29 View
Oct 30, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 43 - 37 View
Jan 16, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 1 31 - 23 View
Dec 13, 2022
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6 38 - 30 View
Mar 16, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 1 42 - 25 View
Nov 26, 2021
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 - 3 17 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.