Away team
Seattle Kraken
30.5%
Fair American
+228
Fair decimal
3.28
Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 26, 2026.
March 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 69.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
69.5%
Fair American
-228
Fair decimal
1.44
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SEA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Points | 106 |
| 0.482 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 226 | Goals for | 290 |
| 263 | Goals against | 231 |
| -37 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
SEA road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 15 | Wins | 26 |
| 36 | Points | 53 |
| -33 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
SEA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-8-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 4 | Points | 10 |
| 20 | Goals for | 26 |
| 39 | Goals against | 30 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SEA
1 wins
9
games reviewed
TBL
8 wins
Total goals15 – 39
Goal differential
-24
/
+24
Goals per game1.67 / 4.33
Shots per game28.0 / 30.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
6 - 2 | 25 - 18 | View |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 43 - 37 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 38 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 1 | 42 - 25 | View |
| Nov 26, 2021 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 17 - 26 | View |