Forward trio
63:12 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 37
- Corsi share
- 51.3%
- Fenwick share
- 52.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.60 / 1.87
Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 26, 2026.
March 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
142:29 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 129 / 159
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 112
- Corsi share
- 44.8%
- Fenwick share
- 45.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.97 / 6.47
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:23 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 60 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 43
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.29 / 2.59
Defense pair
119:51 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 146 / 89
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 77
- Corsi share
- 62.1%
- Fenwick share
- 58.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.16 / 4.82
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joey Daccord
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 87.4
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 36.1
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 125
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 29.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.76
- xG against / game
- 3.02
- xG differential / game
- -0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.01
- xG against / game
- 2.84
- xG differential / game
- 0.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.5
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.1
Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 16.8% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SEA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 0.654 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 50 | Goals for | 38 |
| 46 | Goals against | 34 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
SEA road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 9 |
Last 10 games
|
SEA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 37 | Goals for | 37 |
| 41 | Goals against | 29 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SEA
1 wins
9
games reviewed
TBL
8 wins
Total goals15 – 39
Goal differential
-24
/
+24
Goals per game1.67 / 4.33
Shots per game28.0 / 30.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
6 - 2 | 25 - 18 | View |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 37 - 24 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 29 | View |
| Oct 30, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 43 - 37 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Dec 13, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 38 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Seattle Kraken
|
4 - 1 | 42 - 25 | View |
| Nov 26, 2021 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 3 | 17 - 26 | View |