San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 23, 2027

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 23, 2027.

February 23, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 67.0%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

33.0%
Fair American +203
Fair decimal 3.03
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

67.0%
Fair American -203
Fair decimal 1.49
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
86Points106
0.524Points %0.646
251Goals for290
292Goals against231
-41Goal differential59
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
18Wins26
38Points53
-25Goal differential22
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
5-4-1Record5-5-0
11Points10
31Goals for26
35Goals against30
-4Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 8 wins
Total goals18 – 47
Goal differential -29 / +29
Goals per game1.8 / 4.7
Shots per game23.4 / 28.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 20, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 23 - 20 View
Jan 3, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
7 - 3 26 - 22 View
Jan 2, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 2 25 - 25 View
Dec 5, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 8 21 - 35 View
Mar 21, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 1 21 - 22 View
Oct 26, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 - 6 23 - 31 View
Feb 7, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 22 - 37 View
Oct 29, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 26 - 27 View
Feb 1, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 3 21 - 32 View
Jan 22, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
7 - 1 31 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.