San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on January 20, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 62.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(62.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
January 20, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
San Jose Sharks
37.8%
Fair American: +165
Fair Decimal: 2.65
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
62.2%
Fair American: -165
Fair Decimal: 1.61
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Points | 106 |
| 0.524 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 251 | Goals For | 290 |
| 292 | Goals Against | 231 |
| -41 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
SJS (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 26 |
| 38 | Points | 53 |
| -25 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 31 | Goals For | 26 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
SJS
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 8-2 |
| 17 | Total Goals | 46 |
| -29 | Goal Differential | +29 |
| 1.7 | Goals / Game | 4.6 |
| 24.1 | Shots / Game | 29.9 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
7 - 3 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Dec 5, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 8 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Mar 21, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 6 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Feb 7, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Oct 29, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Feb 1, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Jan 22, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
7 - 1 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Feb 1, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
San Jose Sharks
@
|
3 - 0 | 35 - 30 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.