Away team
San Jose Sharks
37.8%
Fair American
+165
Fair decimal
2.65
San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2026.
January 20, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 62.2%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
62.2%
Fair American
-165
Fair decimal
1.61
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Points | 106 |
| 0.524 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 251 | Goals for | 290 |
| 292 | Goals against | 231 |
| -41 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 18 | Wins | 26 |
| 38 | Points | 53 |
| -25 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 31 | Goals for | 26 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
2 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
8 wins
Total goals17 – 46
Goal differential
-29
/
+29
Goals per game1.7 / 4.6
Shots per game24.1 / 29.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 3 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Jan 2, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 2 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Dec 5, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 8 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Mar 21, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
0 - 6 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Feb 7, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Oct 29, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Feb 1, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Jan 22, 2022 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
7 - 1 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Feb 1, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 0 | 35 - 30 | View |