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San Jose Sharks vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.

October 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Nashville Predators at 58.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

41.6%
Fair American +140
Fair decimal 2.4
Best market +123 · BetRivers
Market implied 44.8%
Edge -3.2%
Expected value -7.2%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

58.4%
Fair American -140
Fair decimal 1.71
Best market -134 · FanDuel
Market implied 57.3%
Edge +1.1%
Expected value +2.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 15, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

85:20 together · 6 games

xG share28.1%
Corsi for / against
55 / 86
Fenwick for / against
39 / 57
Corsi share
39.0%
Fenwick share
40.6%
xG for / against
1.85 / 4.72
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:49 together · 6 games

xG share61.3%
Corsi for / against
44 / 31
Fenwick for / against
29 / 24
Corsi share
58.7%
Fenwick share
54.7%
xG for / against
2.22 / 1.40
Defense pair

71:50 together · 6 games

xG share46.5%
Corsi for / against
68 / 75
Fenwick for / against
49 / 52
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
48.5%
xG for / against
2.68 / 3.09
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

San Jose Sharks

Other eligible goalies

Why Alex Nedeljkovic?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
-0.826
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
-0.458
Goalie win pct before
+0.312
Team played yesterday
-0.264
Started last game
+0.180
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Nashville Predators

Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.004
Prev save pct
-0.543
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.448
Team win pct before
+0.317
Started last game
-0.267
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
84.8
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
37.1

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 13

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
89.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
29.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.48
xG against / game
3.85
xG differential / game
-1.37

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.38
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.71

6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
50.2
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
45.0
Faceoff win %
45.4
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Nashville Predators

6 / 6 games covered

Attempts / game
50.3
Corsi share (%)
44.7
Fenwick share (%)
44.2
Faceoff win %
47.2
Penalties / game
3.17

Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
13Points12
0.542Points %0.545
37Goals for31
43Goals against35
-6Goal differential-4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
8Games6
4Wins3
9Points7
-3Goal differential2
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
4-5-1Record4-2-4
9Points12
28Goals for30
36Goals against32
-8Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 9 wins
Total goals28 – 53
Goal differential -25 / +25
Goals per game2.8 / 5.3
Shots per game26.7 / 31.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 13, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 23 - 27 View
Apr 4, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 3 34 - 27 View
Mar 24, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 6 30 - 19 View
Mar 11, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 19 - 27 View
Jan 23, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 5 38 - 35 View
Jan 21, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 7 24 - 41 View
Mar 19, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 8 20 - 40 View
Feb 24, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 35 - 25 View
Oct 21, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 5 32 - 34 View
Feb 23, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 2 31 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.