San Jose Sharks vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 15, 2026
San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 15, 2026.
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Nashville Predators
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 15, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- 0.28
- ROI
- 14.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- -0.39
- ROI
- -7.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.45
- ROI
- -15.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -1.45
- ROI
- -36.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
35:48 together · 4 games
- Corsi for / against
- 28 / 27
- Fenwick for / against
- 23 / 20
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.5%
- xG for / against
- 0.99 / 1.23
85:20 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 55 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 57
- Corsi share
- 39.0%
- Fenwick share
- 40.6%
- xG for / against
- 1.85 / 4.72
Nashville Predators
6 / 6 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
39:49 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 44 / 31
- Fenwick for / against
- 29 / 24
- Corsi share
- 58.7%
- Fenwick share
- 54.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.22 / 1.40
71:50 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 68 / 75
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 52
- Corsi share
- 47.6%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.68 / 3.09
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
San Jose Sharks
Other eligible goalies
- Yaroslav Askarov47.3%
Why Alex Nedeljkovic?
Top five influences
About these predictions
Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.
SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.
Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time
Nashville Predators
Other eligible goalies
- Justus Annunen23.4%
- Matt Murray16.5%
Why Juuse Saros?
Top five influences
About these predictions
Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.
SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.
Updated Oct 15, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 84.8
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 37.1
Juuse Saros
Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 155
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 29.7
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.48
- xG against / game
- 3.85
- xG differential / game
- -1.37
6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Nashville Predators
- xG for / game
- 2.38
- xG against / game
- 3.09
- xG differential / game
- -0.71
6 / 6 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
6 / 6 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.0
- Faceoff win %
- 45.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Nashville Predators
6 / 6 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.2
- Faceoff win %
- 47.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.17
Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
Season and recent form
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.545 |
| 37 | Goals for | 31 |
| 43 | Goals against | 35 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 2 |
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 4-2-4 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 28 | Goals for | 30 |
| 36 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -2 |
Last 10 head-to-head games
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 |
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
|
3 - 6 | 30 - 19 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
|
3 - 2 | 19 - 27 | View |
| Jan 23, 2025 |
|
6 - 5 | 38 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
|
5 - 7 | 24 - 41 | View |
| Mar 19, 2024 |
|
2 - 8 | 20 - 40 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
|
1 - 5 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Feb 23, 2023 |
|
6 - 2 | 31 - 24 | View |