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San Jose Sharks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 17, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 17, 2026.

March 17, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

89:38 together · 9 games

xG share51.7%
Corsi for / against
83 / 81
Fenwick for / against
65 / 60
Corsi share
50.6%
Fenwick share
52.0%
xG for / against
5.44 / 5.08
Defense pair

143:35 together · 10 games

xG share51.1%
Corsi for / against
145 / 129
Fenwick for / against
108 / 98
Corsi share
52.9%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
7.98 / 7.65
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

130:36 together · 10 games

xG share69.1%
Corsi for / against
127 / 84
Fenwick for / against
93 / 61
Corsi share
60.2%
Fenwick share
60.4%
xG for / against
7.72 / 3.45
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 15

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
24
Save %
75.0
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
33.3

Connor Ingram

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
89.7
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
26.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.94
xG against / game
3.06
xG differential / game
-0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.62
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.6
Corsi share (%)
49.1
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
46.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.2
Corsi share (%)
48.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.7
Faceoff win %
55.9
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 14.1% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
13Points18
0.500Points %0.750
37Goals for52
45Goals against43
-8Goal differential9
L2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
8Games7
4Wins3
9Points8
-3Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
28Goals for38
33Goals against30
-5Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 8 wins
Total goals21 – 42
Goal differential -21 / +21
Goals per game2.1 / 4.2
Shots per game23.9 / 34.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 28, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 5 24 - 33 View
Jan 29, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 20 - 32 View
Apr 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 0 28 - 18 View
Apr 11, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 24 - 34 View
Apr 3, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 38 - 29 View
Dec 21, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 22 - 42 View
Apr 15, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 9 21 - 38 View
Dec 28, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 0 30 - 25 View
Nov 9, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 41 - 18 View
Apr 13, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5 29 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.