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San Jose Sharks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

92:37 together · 10 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
77 / 86
Fenwick for / against
58 / 61
Corsi share
47.2%
Fenwick share
48.7%
xG for / against
4.54 / 3.26
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

155:19 together · 10 games

xG share65.7%
Corsi for / against
162 / 137
Fenwick for / against
125 / 99
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
10.98 / 5.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
37.6

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Jan 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
0.41

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
4.29
xG against / game
2.99
xG differential / game
1.30

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.7
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
48.2
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.0
Corsi share (%)
50.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
50.9
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 31.9 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
13Points18
0.500Points %0.750
37Goals for52
45Goals against43
-8Goal differential9
L2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
8Games7
4Wins3
9Points8
-3Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
28Goals for38
33Goals against30
-5Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 9 wins
Total goals18 – 45
Goal differential -27 / +27
Goals per game1.8 / 4.5
Shots per game24.1 / 37.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 0 28 - 18 View
Apr 11, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 24 - 34 View
Apr 3, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 38 - 29 View
Dec 21, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 22 - 42 View
Apr 15, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 9 21 - 38 View
Dec 28, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
5 - 0 30 - 25 View
Nov 9, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 41 - 18 View
Apr 13, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5 29 - 36 View
Apr 8, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 1 35 - 23 View
Mar 20, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 5 32 - 52 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.