Forward trio
71:56 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 69
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 49
- Corsi share
- 55.5%
- Fenwick share
- 55.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.92 / 2.74
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.
March 12, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
133:20 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 144 / 111
- Fenwick for / against
- 101 / 83
- Corsi share
- 56.5%
- Fenwick share
- 54.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.14 / 4.82
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:15 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 66 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 34
- Corsi share
- 56.4%
- Fenwick share
- 59.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.47 / 2.05
Defense pair
104:01 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 61
- Corsi share
- 53.1%
- Fenwick share
- 52.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.06 / 3.14
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 88.2
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 35.3
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 83.2
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 36.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.80
- xG against / game
- 3.32
- xG differential / game
- 0.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.05
- xG against / game
- 2.67
- xG differential / game
- 0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.0
- Faceoff win %
- 41.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 31.4 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 17 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.654 |
| 40 | Goals for | 47 |
| 40 | Goals against | 38 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W2 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 7 | Points | 13 |
| 27 | Goals for | 36 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
7 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
3 wins
Total goals33 – 25
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.3 / 2.5
Shots per game29.1 / 32.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 5 | 22 - 22 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 37 - 17 | View |
| Mar 7, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
0 - 4 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Jan 20, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 29 | View |
| Nov 19, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 3 | 38 - 32 | View |
| Jan 5, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 40 - 31 | View |
| Dec 1, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 47 | View |
| Mar 11, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 42 - 33 | View |
| Jan 17, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 3 | 37 - 26 | View |
| Jan 7, 2020 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 16 - 34 | View |