Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights matchup on March 12, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Vegas Golden Knights a 50.3% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Vegas Golden Knights (50.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 12, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.7%
Fair American: +101
Fair Decimal: 2.01
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Vegas Golden Knights
50.3%
Fair American: -101
Fair Decimal: 1.99
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
98 Points 95
0.598 Points % 0.579
293 Goals For 265
268 Goals Against 250
25 Goal Differential 15
L3 Current Streak W3
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT (Road)
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK (Home)
41 Games 41
21 Wins 20
50 Points 49
18 Goal Differential 19
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
5-5-0 Record 7-0-3
10 Points 17
46 Goals For 40
40 Goals Against 25
6 Goal Differential 15
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
H2H Summary
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
7-3 Record 3-7
33 Total Goals 25
+8 Goal Differential -8
3.3 Goals / Game 2.5
29.1 Shots / Game 32.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 1, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 5 22 - 22 View
Mar 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 37 - 17 View
Mar 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 4 22 - 27 View
Jan 20, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 25 - 29 View
Nov 19, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 3 38 - 32 View
Jan 5, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 40 - 31 View
Dec 1, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 4 37 - 47 View
Mar 11, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden Knights @ Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 5 42 - 33 View
Jan 17, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 3 37 - 26 View
Jan 7, 2020
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 16 - 34 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.