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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2026.

March 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

70:06 together · 8 games

xG share54.1%
Corsi for / against
83 / 70
Fenwick for / against
57 / 50
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
3.60 / 3.05
Defense pair

127:52 together · 10 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
132 / 109
Fenwick for / against
90 / 82
Corsi share
54.8%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
6.24 / 5.16
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

146:29 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
123 / 130
Fenwick for / against
86 / 84
Corsi share
48.6%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
5.61 / 5.52
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
28.9

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Mar 12

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
137
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
30.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.63
xG against / game
3.27
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
2.97
xG differential / game
0.01

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
50.8
Faceoff win %
40.3
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.0
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
51.7
Faceoff win %
52.3
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
11Points16
0.458Points %0.615
40Goals for47
40Goals against43
0Goal differential4
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
7Games6
1Wins4
3Points8
-6Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
3-6-1Record6-4-0
7Points12
27Goals for35
35Goals against38
-8Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 0 wins
1 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
Total goals4 – 5
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game4.0 / 5.0
Shots per game16.0 / 37.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 14, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4 37 - 16 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.