Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
34.9%
Fair American
+187
Fair decimal
2.87
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 12, 2026.
December 12, 2026
· 2:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 65.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
65.1%
Fair American
-187
Fair decimal
1.54
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Points | 106 |
| 0.598 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 293 | Goals for | 290 |
| 268 | Goals against | 231 |
| 25 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 26 |
| 50 | Points | 53 |
| 18 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 46 | Goals for | 26 |
| 40 | Goals against | 30 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
6 wins
Total goals28 – 38
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game2.8 / 3.8
Shots per game26.3 / 31.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 40 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 6 | 15 - 27 | View |
| Jan 12, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 6, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Mar 2, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 31 | View |