Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 2, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on April 2, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 61.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(61.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 2, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins
38.8%
Fair American: +158
Fair Decimal: 2.58
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
61.2%
Fair American: -158
Fair Decimal: 1.63
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Points | 106 |
| 0.598 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 293 | Goals For | 290 |
| 268 | Goals Against | 231 |
| 25 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| L3 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
PIT (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 26 |
| 50 | Points | 53 |
| 18 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 46 | Goals For | 26 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 6 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
PIT
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 32 | Total Goals | 35 |
| -3 | Goal Differential | +3 |
| 3.2 | Goals / Game | 3.5 |
| 27.5 | Shots / Game | 31.4 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 3 | 31 - 40 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 6 | 15 - 27 | View |
| Jan 12, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 33 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 2 | 35 - 19 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Dec 6, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Nov 30, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Mar 2, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 4 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Feb 26, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 7 | 29 - 36 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.