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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 21, 2026.

November 21, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

52.3% Model pick
at
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

47.7%
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 52.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

52.3%
Fair American -110
Fair decimal 1.91
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

47.7%
Fair American +110
Fair decimal 2.1
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 21, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

83:42 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
96 / 88
Fenwick for / against
70 / 70
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.95 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

45:15 together · 9 games

xG share67.0%
Corsi for / against
48 / 31
Fenwick for / against
32 / 19
Corsi share
60.8%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
2.24 / 1.10
Defense pair

102:48 together · 10 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
102 / 108
Fenwick for / against
78 / 80
Corsi share
48.6%
Fenwick share
49.4%
xG for / against
6.27 / 5.53
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
89.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
29.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.45
xG differential / game
-0.30

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
46.6
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.8
Corsi share (%)
47.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
11Points13
0.458Points %0.542
40Goals for34
40Goals against39
0Goal differential-5
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
7Games7
1Wins3
3Points8
-6Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
3-6-1Record3-2-5
7Points11
27Goals for31
35Goals against35
-8Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 2 wins
Total goals30 – 16
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.0 / 1.6
Shots per game31.0 / 27.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 24, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 26 - 37 View
Nov 16, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4 21 - 22 View
Nov 14, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 2 17 - 30 View
Feb 1, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 3 25 - 36 View
Dec 19, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 4 20 - 26 View
Apr 15, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 4 30 - 38 View
Nov 28, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 31 - 25 View
Mar 30, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 2 28 - 45 View
Feb 28, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 1 34 - 25 View
Apr 10, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 35 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT NSH