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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 22, 2026.

January 22, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

102:43 together · 8 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
114 / 107
Fenwick for / against
85 / 68
Corsi share
51.6%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
5.45 / 4.82
Defense pair

143:59 together · 9 games

xG share49.6%
Corsi for / against
146 / 144
Fenwick for / against
102 / 96
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
51.5%
xG for / against
6.75 / 6.87
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

171:29 together · 10 games

xG share69.8%
Corsi for / against
190 / 130
Fenwick for / against
149 / 97
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
60.6%
xG for / against
12.86 / 5.57
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Stuart Skinner

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
92.7
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
33.1

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Jan 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
90.7
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.51
xG against / game
2.70
xG differential / game
0.81

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
4.10
xG against / game
2.67
xG differential / game
1.43

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.3
Corsi share (%)
53.7
Fenwick share (%)
54.4
Faceoff win %
51.9
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Corsi share (%)
51.1
Fenwick share (%)
53.8
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
11Points18
0.458Points %0.750
40Goals for52
40Goals against43
0Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
7Games7
1Wins3
3Points8
-6Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
3-6-1Record7-2-1
7Points15
27Goals for38
35Goals against30
-8Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 8 wins
Total goals23 – 48
Goal differential -25 / +25
Goals per game2.3 / 4.8
Shots per game30.0 / 37.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 4 23 - 30 View
Jan 9, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 5 43 - 26 View
Oct 25, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 4 27 - 50 View
Mar 10, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 0 42 - 41 View
Mar 3, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 23 - 37 View
Feb 23, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
7 - 2 44 - 24 View
Oct 24, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 6 35 - 47 View
Apr 26, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 1 42 - 34 View
Dec 1, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5 34 - 22 View
Dec 20, 2019
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 2 26 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.