Skip to content

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 9, 2026.

October 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

2 Model pick
Final
Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

5-5-0

3
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 60.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

60.4%
Fair American -153
Fair decimal 1.66
Best market +104 · BetRivers
Market implied 49.0%
Edge +11.4%
Expected value +23.2%
Calculate value
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
Home team

Columbus Blue Jackets

39.6%
Fair American +153
Fair decimal 2.53
Best market -115 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 53.5%
Edge -13.9%
Expected value -26.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 9, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:52 together · 4 games

xG share48.4%
Corsi for / against
39 / 37
Fenwick for / against
29 / 28
Corsi share
51.3%
Fenwick share
50.9%
xG for / against
1.67 / 1.77
Defense pair

51:57 together · 4 games

xG share61.2%
Corsi for / against
59 / 53
Fenwick for / against
44 / 34
Corsi share
52.7%
Fenwick share
56.4%
xG for / against
2.73 / 1.73
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

22:50 together · 2 games

xG share58.1%
Corsi for / against
21 / 24
Fenwick for / against
14 / 15
Corsi share
46.7%
Fenwick share
48.3%
xG for / against
0.87 / 0.63
Defense pair

34:28 together · 2 games

xG share64.7%
Corsi for / against
30 / 27
Fenwick for / against
21 / 19
Corsi share
52.6%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
1.70 / 0.93
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
71
Save %
85.9
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
26.8

Jet Greaves

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 3

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
57
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
26.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.57

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
2.97
xG differential / game
-0.45

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
59.8
Corsi share (%)
50.0
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
44.7
Penalties / game
3.25

Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
45.0
Corsi share (%)
41.3
Fenwick share (%)
42.5
Faceoff win %
55.9
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 21.0 · Shooting: 16.7% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
11Points10
0.458Points %0.500
40Goals for26
40Goals against33
0Goal differential-7
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
7Games7
1Wins4
3Points8
-6Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
3-6-1Record5-5-0
7Points10
27Goals for26
35Goals against33
-8Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 5 wins
Total goals38 – 38
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.8 / 3.8
Shots per game31.0 / 32.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 17, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 25 - 32 View
Jan 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
5 - 4 43 - 25 View
Nov 28, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 3 24 - 29 View
Oct 25, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 4 41 - 31 View
Mar 21, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 6 47 - 34 View
Jan 7, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 29 - 23 View
Nov 15, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 6 23 - 39 View
Mar 30, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 4 33 - 37 View
Mar 28, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 19 - 36 View
Mar 5, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 5 35 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT CBJ