Forward trio
101:01 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 61
- Corsi share
- 55.0%
- Fenwick share
- 59.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.48 / 4.20
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 21, 2026.
January 21, 2026
· 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
158:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 168 / 152
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 101
- Corsi share
- 52.5%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 7.57 / 6.94
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
55:11 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 54 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 43
- Corsi share
- 49.1%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 3.00 / 2.34
Defense pair
154:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 162 / 157
- Fenwick for / against
- 104 / 111
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 48.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.19 / 8.10
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 117
- Save %
- 92.3
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 33.3
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Jan 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 92.6
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 36.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.46
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.69
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.34
- xG differential / game
- -0.64
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.2
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 31.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 8.9% · Avg distance: 35.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 40 | Goals for | 28 |
| 40 | Goals against | 41 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -13 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 27 | Goals for | 27 |
| 35 | Goals against | 35 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
6 wins
Total goals26 – 26
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game2.6 / 2.6
Shots per game34.0 / 30.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 1 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Nov 30, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 6 | 32 - 43 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 38 - 25 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 30 - 20 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 36 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 2 | 34 - 39 | View |
| Oct 25, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Nov 29, 2021 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 2 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Oct 28, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 45 | View |
| Dec 17, 2019 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 1 | 33 - 34 | View |