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Philadelphia Flyers vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2026.

January 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

101:34 together · 10 games

xG share47.4%
Corsi for / against
97 / 91
Fenwick for / against
65 / 61
Corsi share
51.6%
Fenwick share
51.6%
xG for / against
4.71 / 5.22
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

92:50 together · 8 games

xG share58.0%
Corsi for / against
88 / 74
Fenwick for / against
59 / 50
Corsi share
54.3%
Fenwick share
54.1%
xG for / against
4.23 / 3.07
Defense pair

125:50 together · 10 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
107 / 107
Fenwick for / against
71 / 77
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
48.0%
xG for / against
4.88 / 4.25
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Aleksei Kolosov

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 17

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
47
Save %
83.0
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
36.2

Akira Schmid

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
90.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
34.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.05
xG against / game
3.35
xG differential / game
-0.30

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
2.49
xG differential / game
0.43

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.5
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.8
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
5.2

Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.2
Faceoff win %
44.9
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 28.1 · Shooting: 15.3% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
9Points17
0.346Points %0.654
24Goals for47
42Goals against38
-18Goal differential9
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
6Games7
1Wins5
3Points10
-8Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
3-6-1Record6-3-1
7Points13
20Goals for36
29Goals against30
-9Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 7 wins
Total goals28 – 35
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game2.8 / 3.5
Shots per game28.8 / 33.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 21 - 19 View
Jan 2, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 25 - 27 View
Nov 25, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 4 30 - 36 View
Nov 18, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 31 - 38 View
Oct 24, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 28 - 29 View
Mar 14, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 33 - 30 View
Dec 9, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2 28 - 34 View
Mar 8, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 2 48 - 21 View
Dec 10, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 25 - 44 View
Jan 2, 2020
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 5 38 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.