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Philadelphia Flyers vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 21, 2026.

January 21, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:02 together · 10 games

xG share45.4%
Corsi for / against
97 / 96
Fenwick for / against
65 / 63
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
4.45 / 5.35
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

79:26 together · 7 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
111 / 58
Fenwick for / against
83 / 48
Corsi share
65.7%
Fenwick share
63.4%
xG for / against
5.11 / 3.15
Defense pair

143:27 together · 10 games

xG share59.0%
Corsi for / against
177 / 132
Fenwick for / against
132 / 98
Corsi share
57.3%
Fenwick share
57.4%
xG for / against
10.23 / 7.10
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Samuel Ersson

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
95
Save %
83.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
43.2

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
93.8
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
34.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.9
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.3
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
5.3

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.2
Corsi share (%)
53.1
Fenwick share (%)
53.0
Faceoff win %
52.9
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
9Points16
0.346Points %0.667
24Goals for46
42Goals against40
-18Goal differential6
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
6Games5
1Wins4
3Points8
-8Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
3-6-1Record6-4-0
7Points12
20Goals for36
29Goals against39
-9Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

No recent head-to-head games found
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.