Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
30.7%
Fair American
+226
Fair decimal
3.26
Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 23, 2027
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 23, 2027.
March 23, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 69.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
69.3%
Fair American
-226
Fair decimal
1.44
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 23, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.74
- ROI
- 6.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 1.37
- ROI
- 22.9%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
59:45 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 29
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 1.57
Defense pair
111:09 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 63
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.21
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:14 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 40
- Corsi share
- 63.6%
- Fenwick share
- 62.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.88 / 2.30
Defense pair
161:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 192 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 89
- Corsi share
- 58.9%
- Fenwick share
- 57.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.24 / 5.26
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Connor Hellebuyck
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 18
- Save %
- 94.4
- Goals allowed
- 1
- Close-range shots %
- 55.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.43
- xG against / game
- 2.21
- xG differential / game
- 1.22
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 58.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 0.357 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 27 | Goals for | 41 |
| 46 | Goals against | 33 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Points | 12 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 8 | Points | 14 |
| 22 | Goals for | 38 |
| 29 | Goals against | 25 |
| -7 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
4 wins
Total goals30 – 27
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game3.0 / 2.7
Shots per game26.5 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 44 | View |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
5 - 1 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
5 - 3 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Nov 22, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 6 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Mar 9, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 24 | View |
| Jan 29, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
0 - 5 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Jan 27, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 4 | 33 - 26 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 1 | 18 - 13 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
0 - 1 | 20 - 21 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 6 | 48 - 40 | View |