Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
33.0%
Fair American
+203
Fair decimal
3.03
Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 8, 2026.
November 8, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 67.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
67.0%
Fair American
-203
Fair decimal
1.49
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 8, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
59:45 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 29
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 1.57
Defense pair
111:09 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 63
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.21
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 72
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 4.76
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 0.357 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 27 | Goals for | 28 |
| 46 | Goals against | 41 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -13 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 8 | Points | 10 |
| 22 | Goals for | 27 |
| 29 | Goals against | 35 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
3 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
7 wins
Total goals22 – 38
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game2.2 / 3.8
Shots per game29.6 / 30.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 5 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Nov 2, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 18 | View |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 40 - 32 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 42 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Feb 20, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Nov 21, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 2 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 16, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 34 - 43 | View |
| Oct 30, 2021 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 4 | 20 - 36 | View |