Forward trio
94:01 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 52
- Corsi share
- 54.9%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.48 / 2.96
Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2026.
March 3, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
145:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 145 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 115 / 69
- Corsi share
- 59.9%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 8.02 / 3.21
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
85:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 85 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 64 / 70
- Corsi share
- 46.7%
- Fenwick share
- 47.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 5.78
Defense pair
143:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 127
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 95
- Corsi share
- 55.1%
- Fenwick share
- 55.8%
- xG for / against
- 8.90 / 7.10
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Feb 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 100
- Save %
- 89.0
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 29.0
Connor Ingram
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Feb 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 94
- Save %
- 86.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 41.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.40
- xG against / game
- 2.22
- xG differential / game
- 1.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.88
- xG against / game
- 3.22
- xG differential / game
- 0.66
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.2
- Faceoff win %
- 53.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.9
- Faceoff win %
- 54.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 34.1 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 29.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 17 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.773 |
| 38 | Goals for | 49 |
| 34 | Goals against | 39 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 10 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
EDM home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -4 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
EDM
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 12 | Points | 16 |
| 31 | Goals for | 44 |
| 31 | Goals against | 33 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
3 wins
10
games reviewed
EDM
7 wins
Total goals27 – 38
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game2.7 / 3.8
Shots per game27.5 / 33.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Dec 22, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 3 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Nov 19, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 5 | 36 - 16 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 3 | 30 - 46 | View |
| Mar 14, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 6 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Feb 11, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 3 | 40 - 29 | View |
| Jan 31, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 3 | 39 - 31 | View |
| Jan 15, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
6 - 4 | 26 - 37 | View |
| Apr 8, 2021 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 40 | View |